Global challenges
Not all the global challenges, however, are related to technology. After all, demand for air travel is not going down. In fact, quite the opposite is true: “It’s conceivable that by 2050, the volume of air traffic will be three times what it is today,” says Florian Linke, Deputy Director of the Institute of Air Transport at DLR. What’s more, new technologies will require extensive new infrastructure. Hydrogen alone would require entirely new tank systems, as it must be cooled to around minus 250 degrees Celsius. “Right now, everywhere is set up for kerosene, but this hydrogen infrastructure would have to be installed at every airport from scratch. Besides, air travel is a global phenomenon. Even if airports here in Germany had the required infrastructure, destination airports in other countries would also need it to allow aircraft to refuel for the return journey. This means that for the whole thing to work, the rollout would have to be global,” Linke says.
In addition, the hydrogen used would have to be produced in a sustainable way. Aviation would be competing with other players in the transport sector and with industry. Linke also highlights the non-CO2 effects of aviation, like other emissions and the formation of contrails: “Burning hydrogen doesn’t produce carbon dioxide, but rather water vapor and—depending on the combustor—also nitrogen oxide emissions. As a fuel, hydrogen is carbon neutral, but it doesn’t count as climate neutral unless this water vapor is released somewhere other than the lower stratosphere, and the nitrogen oxide emissions are reduced to zero. And the hydrogen must of course be produced using green electricity.” This last point is an essential part of the future of aviation.
New aircraft in the skies
Electric unmanned air systems (UASs) also offer a vast array of potential applications – they are intended to ease congestion on the roads in the future. These range from the express transport of essentials like banked blood and medications to deliveries of packages and food. According to Linke, even if these new players become popular very quickly, they are unlikely to pose a threat to traditional air travel: “There’s a great push to integrate these vehicles into our airspace, and progress is being made. The question is whether there’s really a market for all the use cases currently under discussion.” In the case of air taxis, for instance, a special infrastructure will have to be created. The push for UASs is also linked to higher energy expenditure, which might call into question their positive effect on the climate. Then there are the industry’s high safety and security standards, which must be met during piloted and automated operations alike. “There’s still research to be done in these areas, which means that integration into airspace is really the lesser problem.”
So there’s plenty to do, and although the aviation industry faces a massive number of challenges, Linke thinks there’s not one that can’t be solved. After all, thanks to Clean Aviation and others, a quarter of a century from now air travel could well look completely different. Indeed, the industry is no stranger to rapid developments: back in 1927, when Charles Lindbergh made his spectacular solo flight across the Atlantic, who would have thought that just 25 years later, jets would be regularly transporting thousands of passengers across the pond—and in a fraction of the time?