After all, engine components are often highly sophisticated, made of high-end materials and quickly add up to the cost of a mid-range car. This means they tie up a great deal of capital in the form of inventory. What’s more, the procurement chains for such components are very long, with lead times of up to 18 months.
Hinderberger thinks it’s unlikely that a purely computer-based algorithm for forecasting future requirements will be developed any time soon. “Future requirements depend on so many different factors, which spare parts planners have to be weighing up all the time. These range from weather and environmental influences, to a component’s useful service life since the last engine overhaul, to trends in the flight movements of airline fleets and the oil price.” What effect does a falling oil price have on the useful service lives of existing fleets? Would it maybe make sense for airlines to continue operating older, slightly less fuel-efficient aircraft for longer than planned? What would that mean for their spare parts requirements?
“Ten or 15 years ago, advanced data analysis and big data technologies weren’t available to us. But now, by tapping into the insights they provide, we are increasingly able to support our colleagues in spare parts requirement planning to make their decision-making processes more transparent,” Hinderberger explains. “Once the department has specified the process and the parameters, we then translate them into requirements for an IT tool—ideally one that already exists.”
Like fitting together the pieces of a big puzzle, the process involves linking data with research step by step in order to reach the ultimate goal: to have a digital system in place that enables proactive spare parts planning with optimized inventory levels.